The Broncos’ 17-13 loss to the Raiders severely dented the team’s playoff hopes, as FiveThirtyEight projects the Broncos now have just a 0.1 percent chance of making the playoffs.
For Denver to beat those odds, they’ll need to win their final two games against the Chargers and Chiefs — and get some help in seven other matchups.
Over the next two weeks, the wrong result in any of nine key games would eliminate the Broncos from playoff contention. If the games fall Denver’s way, though, they could make a miracle run to the postseason.
Interestingly, none of the seven results that the Broncos need from other teams’ matchups are particularly far-fetched.
Here’s a look at the nine games that would need to go the Broncos way for them to earn a wild-card spot and make the postseason for the first time since 2015.
Note: All odds are via FiveThirtyEight
Matchup: Broncos at Chargers
What the Broncos need: A Broncos win
Odds of desired result: 33 percent
What the Broncos need: A Rams win
Odds of desired result: 54%
Matchup: Dolphins at Titans
What the Broncos need: A Titans win
Odds of desired result: 55%
Matchup: Browns at Steelers
What the Broncos need: A Browns win
Odds of desired result: 47%
Matchup: Chiefs at Broncos
What the Broncos need: A Broncos win
Odds of desired result: 26%
Matchup: Bengals at Browns
What the Broncos need: A Bengals win
Odds of desired result: 50%
Matchup: Patriots at Dolphins
What the Broncos need: A Patriots win
Odds of desired result: 44%
Matchup: Steelers at Ravens
What the Broncos need: A Steelers win
Odds of desired result: 33%
Matchup: Chargers at Raiders
What the Broncos need: A Chargers win
Odds of desired result: 51%
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